as usual no one adds any thoughts without me doing most of the work - I thought more people would be interested in solving this ... oh well
never made any strategy for UK racing before so these are my thoughts
a. one strategy for jumping one for flat
b. jumping strategy only want races with 12 + runners because in those races 6-7 have absolutely no chance - from what I have seen a lot of these races are won by runners resuming or winning 2nd race from a spell.
my thought process is to analyse strength of races contested for top 4 runners in the market that are first up or 2nd run only and prices .. maybe even use the filter of runners whose price comes in
to me I think given this some sort of step stake or even SQ strategy would work here
c. flat strategy - well each course seems to have its own thing here my thoughts here would be
+ 10 plus runner races - bet only runners barrier 3-7 top 3 trainers top 3 jockeys and look for days between runs - see if cannot narrow it down
+ 6 or fewer runners - bet only runners barrier 1-3 fav 1-3 days between runs also prefer better jockeys and horses that are not resuming
once I can see stats for that then go from there and add few more things to narrow it down - or if I am wrong and need to look wider.