Sport betting selections for today

[wiltsu]

Thanks Conny and Cartex !


As I earlier wrote, I have used txodds and I use 3.5 market because seems that Betfair have higher odds in there than the other bookmakers, commission included. This is the edge what I try to use. I don't bet every case where the odds are good, I always check the statistics from annabet dot com (it is Finnish web page but seems that it runs also for english I thin) and I check earlier matches, form etc.

Anyway with my odds range there must be lot of winning bets to be profitable. So far it looks quite promising but I have just bet in 50 games so hard to say. If it is profitable after 2000 bets I might have something.

[wiltsu]

Today market seems not so well so only one match, it is better to keep money in account than risk it when no value.

Manisaspor Fenerbache under 3.5 1.29 odds at Betfair


Status update quickly. My betting bank at betfair is only 42 euros. I have staked little 20.56 euros and returned 3.75 euros. That is not much but it is 18% of money invested. I think that ROI must come down a lot, it is not possible by such a simple method to keep it that way.

[cartex]

wiltsu,
when the odds is this low its better to combine, lets say your best selections into a double or a triple.
You should bet in a way that has the possibilty that atleast 2 bets could wipe out 1 loss, unless the bet got real value.

meaning odds of 1,5 or higher....with odds of 1.3, you will be in a loss even if you get 2 out of 3 correct (0.3+0.3-1 = -0.4)

these odds ranges are rather meant for laying...there if you miss on 2 and hit on 1, you would still get out with a profit. (-0,3-0,3+1 = +0.4)

[wiltsu]

wiltsu,
when the odds is this low its better to combine, lets say your best selections into a double or a triple.
You should bet in a way that has the possibilty that atleast 2 bets could wipe out 1 loss, unless the bet got real value.

meaning odds of 1,5 or higher....with odds of 1.3, you will be in a loss even if you get 2 out of 3 correct (0.3+0.3-1 = -0.4)

these odds ranges are rather meant for laying...there if you miss on 2 and hit on 1, you would still get out with a profit. (-0,3-0,3+1 = +0.4)

I understand what you mean, but I currently don't like betting outsiders like in odds over 3... where seems to be value at Betfair also. And I am not so confident to do analysis ie. hockey moneylines.

When I got more money to betting, I will use again my accounts in Pinnacle, Nordicbet, 188bet, 365Bet... Ie. Pinnacle is good to NHL betting with moneyline odds. . But currently I stick with my under over betting in Betfair.

Stats of under 3.5 in soccer is 12 winners 1 loser so far.

[cartex]

With that strike rate you can keep going at that odds

[wiltsu]

With that strike rate you can keep going at that odds

Yep I know, thanks. So small sample but I am happy about it anyway. Will continue... I did not find anything to bet at this morning, and I try to avoid cup matches also. Even FA-Cup. I rather stay away than make a bet where I am not confident.

[cartex]

Yes, those are really random. Often it seems like you could profit a lot by backing underdogs during cups and friendly matches since there are teams that don't take it too seriously. Use it to test junior players and new tactics